The Ploughshares Monitor
Summer 2005, volume 26, no. 2
Strategic lift capacity
for Canada
By Peter Whelan
The Canadian Force's (CF) recent deployment of the Disaster Assistance
Response Team (DART) to South Asia in the aftermath of the devastating
tsunami highlighted Canada's lack of strategic lift capacity. The
CF relied upon chartered airlift to deliver the bulk of their equipment
to the theatre of operations.
Several Department of National Defence (DND) policy
documents have emphasized the need for Canada to develop a strategic
lift capacity. Most recently, in the 2005 International Policy Statement,
A Role of Pride and Influence in the World: Defence, it was noted
that the CF will "acquire, or ensure access to, the right mix
of capabilities to meet the increasing requirements for domestic,
global [strategic] and in-theatre [tactical] airlift" (p. 14).
The Canadian Forces presently possess some strategic
airlift capacity in a fleet of five CC-150 Polaris aircraft (A310-300
Airbus), which have the capability of traveling long distances without
refueling. However, these aircraft are limited as strategic transporters
by their inability to transport outsize equipment1 and
a lack of defensive tools, which makes them easy targets in volatile
areas. Moreover, one of these aircraft was converted to a VIP transporter
in the early 1990s, and it was recently announced that two others
would be converted to strategic air-to-air refueling aircraft.
Strategic airlift options
To strengthen the mobility of the CF, DND is currently
exploring how to acquire strategic airlift capacity, both unilaterally
and in collaboration with allies (it is not uncommon for forces,
even the Americans, to use charter aircraft and ships for overseas
deployment, but the focus here is on improving capacity for more
rapid deployment).
Unilaterally, the Canadian Forces have three main options to gain
strategic airlift equipment: short-term charter, longer-term lease,
and outright purchase. Access to such equipment is least assured
with charter arrangements and most assured with purchasing. Chief
among the aircraft under consideration are the Ukrainian Antonov
An-124-100, the US C-17, and the French-built Airbus A400M.2
The An-124 is the largest, capable of transporting
120 tons of equipment and/or cargo. Although least expensive at
approximately US$50-million each (due in part to only used aircraft
being available for purchase), the An-124 is a problematic choice.
For example, it is no longer in production and there are a limited
number (approximately 20) available worldwide, a number which continues
to decrease, thereby making assured access agreements increasingly
difficult to acquire and expensive.3 The An-124 was built
during the Soviet regime and Transport Canada's regulations on the
purchase of Russian-built aircraft create complications. With no
defensive aids, the aircraft is unfit to deliver personnel to hostile
environments. Because of questions surrounding its reliability,
it is not NATO-certified to carry passengers. And the sheer size
of this aircraft prohibits its use on smaller and damaged airfields.
The US C-17 aircraft, the second largest carrier with
a payload of 77 tons, is the most expensive of the three options
being considered and would cost over US$250-million each to purchase
and approximately US$45-million per plane, per year to lease - a
price that would include training and maintenance costs. The extraordinary
cost of this aircraft, which the Air Force had determined was the
best fit for the CF in 2000, led then-Defence Minister McCallum
to announce in 2003 that the CF would not be purchasing strategic
lift aircraft.
Although Canada has occasionally chartered C-17 aircraft
from the US (for example during Operation APOLLO), it is unlikely
that Canada would be able to have guaranteed access to these aircraft
whenever the need arose, given the present shortfall in strategic
airlift capacity of the US Air Force. Additionally, some analysts
have questioned whether the US would allow Canada to use its equipment,
with or without a leasing arrangement, on missions it disapproved
of.
The French Airbus A400M is the smallest aircraft,
with a payload of 37 tons, and a purchase price of approximately
US$90-million each. Although considered primarily a tactical airlifter,
the A400M is capable of transporting outsize equipment over long
distances, although not as efficiently as either the An-124 or the
C-17. And the A400M is ideal for landing on short or dilapidated
runways. However, the airbus has not yet been operationally tested
and will not make its first flight until the end of the decade.
It will be available for purchase after 2010.
Canada has also been exploring multilateral options
to access strategic airlift. At the 2002 NATO summit in the Czech
Republic, NATO nations agreed to the Prague Capabilities Commitment
that outlined areas in which the alliance lacked sufficient capacity.
One area of concern was strategic airlift. Since 2002, Canada, along
with ten other NATO states, has been involved in the NATO strategic
airlift pooling arrangement, which aims to lease strategic airlift
equipment for collective use.
While it makes financial sense for Canada to pool
its resources with NATO allies, the arrangement contains potential
pitfalls. The pooling arrangement is considered an interim solution
to the problem of NATO's lack of strategic airlift capacity until
six European states acquire a total of approximately 180 A400M aircraft
that they may then lend to the alliance when required. There is
no guarantee that any aircraft from the NATO pool will be based
in Canada. Even if the aircraft are leased and one is based in Canada,
it is unlikely that NATO states will allow the CF to use this equipment
without restriction.
Strategic sealift: the way forward for the Canadian
Forces?
In addition to strategic airlift, the Canadian Forces
have made use of strategic sealift to deploy in recent years. Strategic
sealift vessels are cheaper than rented airlift and have a greater
carrying capacity (see Table 1). While the
capacity of strategic airlifters is generally dictated by the maximum
weight that a particular aircraft can carry, the carrying capacity
of these ships is determined by the size of their cargo holds.
The one drawback of strategic sealift vessels is that
they require weeks to deliver their payload to the area of operations,
as opposed to the days or even hours required by strategic airlifters.
Therefore sealift is not the ideal mode of transportation for operations
requiring rapid deployment. As well, the CF does not possess any
dedicated strategic sealift capacity. Canada has been exploring
ways to develop its strategic sealift capacity, both unilaterally
and in collaboration with its NATO allies.
In 2004, DND formally announced the launch of the
Joint Support Ship (JSS) project. Three ships are to be constructed
to replace the two retiring Auxiliary Oiler Replenishment ships
as supply vessels, but also to provide the CF with other capabilities,
including strategic sealift. These ships will provide the armed
forces with a strategic sealift capacity, with each ship having
2,500 lane metres of deck space (1,500 covered and 1,000 on the
upper deck)4 - enough combined capacity to transport
an army battle group (approximately 600-750 troops).
Because strategic sealift capacity is expensive, Canada
has also been working with NATO allies to acquire this capacity.
The lack of strategic sealift capacity among NATO members was highlighted
during the Prague Summit in 2002, resulting in the creation of a
group of NATO states committed to collectively enhancing the alliance's
strategic sealift capacity. This group is tasked with acquiring
strategic sealift capacity through a combination of full-time charter
and assured access contracts that would guarantee NATO states access
to strategic sealift vessels in return for an annual fee.
The short- to medium-term outlook for the CF's
strategic lift capacity
It seems unlikely that the CF will possess its own
strategic lift capacity in the short term (five years). The CF will,
however, have access to pooled NATO strategic sea- and airlift equipment.
The level of access and the availability of such shared resources,
and therefore the effectiveness of such arrangements, are yet to
be determined.
In the medium term (five-10 years), the CF will likely
have significant strategic sealift capabilities in the form of their
three Joint Support Ships, possibly supplemented by an additional
ship. On the flip side, within 10 years the NATO pool of strategic
airlift equipment will likely no longer be intact.
Observations based on CF operations from 1999-2005
Most CF operations in the last seven years
have been relatively small. Only 12 of the 36 new operations (33
per cent) had more than 100 personnel. Only eight (22 per cent)
required the use of chartered strategic transporters
for their deployment.
When the CF have required strategic lift equipment, it has
been available to them, primarily through charter
arrangements. Chartering is preferred by many countries, including
on occasion those with their own strategic transporters,
because it is relatively inexpensive, when compared to leasing or
purchase. For example, during the recent DART
deployment to Sri Lanka, chartering two An-124 aircraft to
transport the Response Team's equipment in five
flights cost approximately $5.3-million Canadian. The total
costs of sea- and airlift chartering for both deployment and redeployment
of CF operations in
Kosovo, East Timor, and Afghanistan (Operation
APOLLO) was $75-million Canadian - less than one
third of the cost of purchasing one C-17 aircraft
(Government of Canada 2003).
Although the CF have chartered both strategic
air and sea transporters for recent operations, an analysis
suggests that in most cases sealift would have been sufficient to
deliver the force to the
theatre of operations. In spite of the shortcomings
of the JSS as a strategic transporter, the carrying capacity
of the proposed ships would have been sufficient for the majority
of the force's operations.5
Furthermore, the vast majority of recent CF operations
did not require rapid deployment. The CF has not typically been
a 'first responder' and usually deploys concurrently with other
forces or where multinational operations are already underway. Moreover,
several months of planning usually precede CF deployments, allowing
ample time for sealift to be used. The recent DART deployment to
Sri Lanka is arguably one example of an operation whose effectiveness
rested on its rapid deployability. However, DART's deployment to
South Asia over a week after the devastation (a delay criticized
by many) was not due to Canada's lack of airlift but to political
hesitation and to the sheer unexpectedness of the disaster.
Observations on Canada's strategic lift situation
While the CF lacks strategic sea- and airlift
capacity, there are several initiatives underway aimed at securing
Canadian access to these capabilities. Unilateral purchasing and
leasing options for strategic airlift are problematic.
The NATO air- and sealift projects should provide
the CF with limited access to both types of equipment. Given
the number of alliance member states, strategic lift demand could
exceed supply. Nevertheless,
the acquisition of these capacities is essential
to the peace support work of the alliance and its
members and so Canada should continue to support
these initiatives. Once the Joint Support Ships are
in the water and capable of meeting most of the
strategic lift needs of the CF, the capacity provided by
the NATO pooled airlift equipment will likely
be sufficient to cover Canada's limited strategic airlift needs,
i.e., rare operations requiring rapid deployment.
Rather than purchasing or leasing a fleet of
strategic airlifters, the CF could better spend their money in bolstering
their fleet of tactical transport aircraft. Canada's Hercules aircraft
are aging and tactical
aircraft (such as the A400M) are more versatile
than their strategic counterparts.
Table
1: Examples of lifters' capacity for transporting CF vehicles, both
present and future, routinely used during international deployments
| |
Light Support Vehicle Wheeled (LSVW)
|
Coyote Reconnaissance Vehicle
|
Light Armoured Vehicle LAV III6
|
Stryker Mobile Gun System
|
| An-124 |
18
|
8
|
10
|
6
|
| C-17 |
8
|
5
|
6
|
3
|
| A400M |
3
|
2
|
3
|
1
|
| C-130H7 |
2
|
1
|
1
|
0
|
| JSS8 |
329
|
234
|
197
|
>100
|
1 Outsize cargo exceeds 83.3 feet (25.4 metres) in length,
9.75 feet (3 m) in width, or 8.75 feet (2.7 m) in height. CF vehicles
and equipment that would be classified as outsize cargo include
the LAV III, the Stryker Mobile Gun System, and several engineering
vehicles.
2 These options were considered by DND's
now-defunct 'Future Strategic Airlifter' project. Other aircraft,
such as the Eastern European Ilyushin IL-76, have been touted as
a potential acquisition for the CF.
3 A 2002 DND briefing note stated that,
based on the CF's future strategic airlift needs, a charter company
would have to guarantee access to two An-124s within 48 hours of
a request, and two more within seven days. These aircraft would
have to be available for approximately 1,000 flying hours per year.
Such an arrangement would cost approximately $8.5-billion over a
30-year period ($280-million annually) - approximately the same
cost as purchasing 12 A400M or six C-17 aircraft.
4 Lane metres are the equivalent of 2.5
m width by 1 m length, so the covered deck space is 3,750 square
metres. The 1,500 lane metres of covered space has a clear height
of five metres. The 2,500 lane metres of deck space on each ship
includes hangars and launch pads. Although the combined transport
capacity of the three ships is significant, it is unlikely that
the ships would be deployed in tandem as they will be docked on
both the Eastern and Western Canadian coasts.
5 According to the Defence Associations
National Network, of 10 instances in which CF contracted sealift
from 1996-2000, only three involved the use of over 1,500 lane metres.
6 One LAV III Company is made up of 15 LAV vehicles.
7 The C-130H currently used by the CF is
a variant of the Hercules tactical aircraft.
8 Only the 1,500 lane metres of covered
deck space is considered here. The remaining 1,000 lane metres would
be used for other purposes such as helicopter transportation.
References
Defence Associations National Network 2003, National
Network News, Vol. X, No. 2, Summer.
Government of Canada 2003, 37th Parliament, 2nd Session
of March 17. [Online]. Available from: http://www.parl.gc.ca/37/2/parlbus/chambus/house/debates/071_2003-03-17/toc071-E.htm.
Government of Canada 2005, A Role of Pride and Influence
in the World: Defence. [Online]. Available from: http://www.dfait-maeci.gc.ca/cip-pic/ips/overview-en.asp.
|